Alcoa Corp
News Catalyst · detected 2026-07-17 23:13 · Basic Materials · Aluminum
Risk : Reward
1 : 5.6
Likelihood
11%
Historical win rate of this setup typeRisk multiplier
1.00×
Normal sizingScore
75
Time to reward
1–2 days
Estimated holding period for reward realizationExpected R
-0.11R
From 9 closed setups · bucket: news:6|mag:unknownTrade levels
Entry43.98
Stop46.83
Risk / share2.85
Target 1 (3R)35.43
Target 2 (5R)29.73
Target 3 (10R)28.11
Rationale
News id
14965
Category
GuidanceCut
Headline
Alcoa Cuts 2026 Alumina Output Forecast to 9.5--9.6 Million Tons
Published utc
2026-07-17T16:01:21
Risk multiplier
1
Stop template
PreMarketHigh
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Aluminum
Market cap
11.61B
Magnitude usd
—
Magnitude anchor
—
Magnitude percent of mcap
—
Magnitude bonus
0
Gann confluence
In zone
In zone
Current zone score 9 · reaction rate 98% · 690 clusters tracked · bars used 1254
| Date | Price | Score | Price levels | Time levels |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | 47.84 | 2.27 | 13 | 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | 47.84 | 4.06 | 13 | 10 |
| 2026-07-07 | 43.88 | 2.79 | 8 | 10 |
| 2026-07-07 | 38.93 | 2.58 | 9 | 10 |
| 2026-07-07 | 57.77 | 2.28 | 11 | 10 |
| 2026-07-21 | 47.84 | 2.38 | 13 | 6 |
| 2026-07-28 | 47.84 | 2.63 | 13 | 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | 47.84 | 2.99 | 13 | 8 |
| 2026-08-11 | 47.84 | 3.55 | 13 | 8 |
| 2026-08-11 | 43.88 | 2.44 | 8 | 8 |