Advance Auto Parts Inc
Technical Breakout · detected 2026-05-21 22:30 · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Risk : Reward
1 : 4.5
Likelihood
8%
Historical win rate of this setup typeRisk multiplier
1.00×
Normal sizingScore
88
Time to reward
2–6 months
Estimated holding period for reward realizationExpected R
-0.36R
From 518 closed setups · bucket: type:1|regime:BullTrade levels
Entry58.72
Stop54.66
Risk / share4.06
Target 1 (3R)70.90
Target 2 (5R)77.00
Target 3 (10R)77.00
Rationale
Entry rule
Prior close + $0.10 breakout buffer
Stop rule
min(price - 1 ATR, SMA20)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Auto Parts
Rsi14
58.99
Sma20
54.66
Sma50
54.08
Sma200
52.91
Atr14
3.26
Relative strength rank
64
6-month performance
17.81
1-year performance
87.22
Volume signature
Up / down volume ratio0.74
Up days22
Down days28
Recent pocket pivot✓ Yes
Multi-timeframe alignment
Daily above sma50✓ Yes
Weekly above sma10✓ Yes
Daily + weekly aligned✓ Yes
Gann confluence
In zone
In zone
Current zone score 11 · reaction rate 98% · 913 clusters tracked · bars used 1256
| Date | Price | Score | Price levels | Time levels |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-19 | 52.72 | 2.95 | 18 | 3 |
| 2022-11-15 | 52.72 | 2.95 | 18 | 3 |
| 2025-05-27 | 52.72 | 3.31 | 18 | 3 |
| 2025-08-12 | 52.72 | 3.19 | 18 | 3 |
| 2025-11-04 | 52.72 | 3.31 | 18 | 3 |
| 2025-11-28 | 52.72 | 3.72 | 18 | 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | 52.72 | 3.41 | 18 | 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | 52.72 | 3.31 | 18 | 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | 52.72 | 3.52 | 18 | 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | 52.72 | 3.52 | 18 | 4 |