Golub Capital BDC Inc
Weinstein Transition · detected 2026-07-24 23:25 · Financial · Asset Management
Risk : Reward
1 : 10.0
Likelihood
8%
Historical win rate of this setup typeRisk multiplier
1.00×
Normal sizingScore
65
Time to reward
2–6 months
Estimated holding period for reward realizationExpected R
-0.40R
From 115 closed setups · bucket: type:7|regime:BullTrade levels
Entry12.78
Stop12.94
Risk / share0.16
Target 1 (3R)12.30
Target 2 (5R)11.98
Target 3 (10R)11.18
Rationale
Entry rule
Stage 3 -> Stage 4 fresh breakdown, MAs declining
Stop rule
Above prior Stage 3 floor (now resistance), +1 ATR
Stage transition
Topping → Declining 2A
Price at transition
$12.85
Days in current stage
2
Resistance
$13.62
Stage 3 support
$12.30
Best in group
✗ No
Mansfield RS
-12.73%
All MAs rising
✗ No
All MAs declining
✓ Yes
Breakout confirmed
✗ No
Gann confluence
In zone
In zone
Current zone score 31 · reaction rate 99% · 720 clusters tracked · bars used 1254
| Date | Price | Score | Price levels | Time levels |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-05 | 13.09 | 2.91 | 14 | 4 |
| 2025-05-06 | 13.09 | 2.60 | 14 | 4 |
| 2025-08-18 | 13.09 | 2.76 | 14 | 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | 13.09 | 2.60 | 14 | 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | 13.09 | 6.13 | 14 | 13 |
| 2026-07-27 | 12.68 | 4.95 | 12 | 13 |
| 2026-07-27 | 13.88 | 3.72 | 11 | 13 |
| 2026-07-27 | 14.76 | 3.32 | 13 | 13 |
| 2026-07-27 | 14.23 | 3.11 | 9 | 13 |
| 2026-07-27 | 11.84 | 2.68 | 8 | 13 |