Alcoa Corp
Technical Breakout · detected 2026-06-05 22:30 · Basic Materials · Aluminum
Risk : Reward
1 : 5.6
Likelihood
8%
Historical win rate of this setup typeRisk multiplier
1.00×
Normal sizingScore
92
Time to reward
2–6 months
Estimated holding period for reward realizationExpected R
-0.36R
From 518 closed setups · bucket: type:1|regime:BullTrade levels
Entry71.99
Stop68.25
Risk / share3.74
Target 1 (3R)83.21
Target 2 (5R)90.69
Target 3 (10R)92.82
Rationale
Entry rule
Prior close + $0.10 breakout buffer
Stop rule
min(price - 1 ATR, SMA20)
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Aluminum
Rsi14
51.15
Sma20
70.74
Sma50
68.43
Sma200
52.32
Atr14
3.64
Relative strength rank
85
6-month performance
63.02
1-year performance
157.95
Volume signature
Up / down volume ratio1.81
Up days31
Down days19
Recent pocket pivot✗ No
Multi-timeframe alignment
Daily above sma50✓ Yes
Weekly above sma10✓ Yes
Daily + weekly aligned✓ Yes
Gann confluence
In zoneLayer applied (+score)
In zone
Layer applied (+score)
Current zone score 16 · reaction rate 97% · 814 clusters tracked · bars used 1256
| Date | Price | Score | Price levels | Time levels |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-25 | 73.32 | 2.41 | 14 | 3 |
| 2022-05-12 | 73.32 | 2.41 | 14 | 3 |
| 2025-05-29 | 73.32 | 2.32 | 14 | 3 |
| 2025-06-30 | 73.32 | 2.84 | 14 | 4 |
| 2025-08-18 | 73.32 | 2.78 | 14 | 3 |
| 2025-11-04 | 73.32 | 2.59 | 14 | 3 |
| 2026-06-03 | 73.32 | 3.13 | 14 | 7 |
| 2026-06-03 | 65.59 | 2.36 | 11 | 7 |
| 2026-06-10 | 73.32 | 3.13 | 14 | 6 |
| 2026-06-10 | 65.59 | 2.36 | 11 | 6 |