Vanguard Communication Services ETF
Weinstein Transition · detected 2026-07-27 23:25 · Financial · Exchange Traded Fund
Risk : Reward
1 : 10.0
Likelihood
8%
Historical win rate of this setup typeRisk multiplier
1.00×
Normal sizingScore
65
Time to reward
2–6 months
Estimated holding period for reward realizationExpected R
-0.40R
From 115 closed setups · bucket: type:7|regime:BullTrade levels
Entry182.17
Stop193.43
Risk / share11.26
Target 1 (3R)148.39
Target 2 (5R)125.87
Target 3 (10R)69.57
Rationale
Entry rule
Stage 3 -> Stage 4 fresh breakdown, MAs declining
Stop rule
Above prior Stage 3 floor (now resistance), +1 ATR
Stage transition
Topping → Declining 2A
Price at transition
$178.80
Days in current stage
4
Resistance
$192.70
Stage 3 support
$184.32
Best in group
✗ No
Mansfield RS
-9.91%
All MAs rising
✗ No
All MAs declining
✓ Yes
Breakout confirmed
✗ No
Gann confluence
In zone
In zone
Current zone score 14 · reaction rate 99% · 600 clusters tracked · bars used 1254
| Date | Price | Score | Price levels | Time levels |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-02 | 171.46 | 2.48 | 13 | 5 |
| 2025-05-02 | 187.26 | 2.45 | 11 | 5 |
| 2025-06-25 | 171.46 | 2.57 | 13 | 4 |
| 2025-06-25 | 187.26 | 2.54 | 11 | 4 |
| 2026-07-14 | 171.46 | 2.30 | 13 | 6 |
| 2026-07-22 | 171.46 | 2.62 | 13 | 7 |
| 2026-07-22 | 187.26 | 2.58 | 11 | 7 |
| 2026-07-29 | 171.46 | 3.68 | 13 | 9 |
| 2026-07-29 | 187.26 | 3.63 | 11 | 9 |
| 2026-07-29 | 181.41 | 2.81 | 10 | 9 |