MFA Financial Inc
Weinstein Transition · detected 2026-07-27 23:25 · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
Risk : Reward
1 : 10.0
Likelihood
8%
Historical win rate of this setup typeRisk multiplier
1.00×
Normal sizingScore
65
Time to reward
2–6 months
Estimated holding period for reward realizationExpected R
-0.40R
From 115 closed setups · bucket: type:7|regime:BullTrade levels
Entry9.12
Stop9.77
Risk / share0.65
Target 1 (3R)7.17
Target 2 (5R)5.87
Target 3 (10R)2.62
Rationale
Entry rule
Stage 3 -> Stage 4 fresh breakdown, MAs declining
Stop rule
Above prior Stage 3 floor (now resistance), +1 ATR
Stage transition
Topping → Declining 2A
Price at transition
$9.29
Days in current stage
7
Resistance
$10.30
Stage 3 support
$9.31
Best in group
✗ No
Mansfield RS
-12.11%
All MAs rising
✗ No
All MAs declining
✓ Yes
Breakout confirmed
✗ No
Gann confluence
In zone
In zone
Current zone score 16 · reaction rate 100% · 936 clusters tracked · bars used 1254
| Date | Price | Score | Price levels | Time levels |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-23 | 9.29 | 2.55 | 14 | 6 |
| 2022-07-01 | 9.29 | 3.41 | 14 | 8 |
| 2022-07-01 | 9.55 | 2.57 | 11 | 8 |
| 2022-07-12 | 9.29 | 2.71 | 14 | 6 |
| 2022-07-20 | 9.29 | 2.30 | 14 | 5 |
| 2022-08-03 | 9.29 | 2.76 | 14 | 4 |
| 2022-09-07 | 9.29 | 2.55 | 14 | 3 |
| 2022-10-25 | 9.29 | 2.76 | 14 | 4 |
| 2023-01-09 | 9.29 | 2.66 | 14 | 6 |
| 2026-05-26 | 9.29 | 2.30 | 14 | 3 |