Alcoa Corp
Technical Breakout · detected 2026-05-21 18:20 · Basic Materials · Aluminum
Risk : Reward
1 : 6.2
Likelihood
8%
Historical win rate of this setup typeRisk multiplier
1.00×
Normal sizingScore
88
Time to reward
2–6 months
Estimated holding period for reward realizationExpected R
-0.36R
From 518 closed setups · bucket: type:1|regime:BullTrade levels
Entry65.55
Stop62.69
Risk / share2.86
Target 1 (3R)74.13
Target 2 (5R)79.85
Target 3 (10R)83.27
Rationale
Entry rule
Prior close + $0.10 breakout buffer
Stop rule
min(price - 1 ATR, SMA20)
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Aluminum
Rsi14
51.34
Sma20
64.31
Sma50
65.37
Sma200
50.02
Atr14
2.76
Relative strength rank
77
6-month performance
79.07
1-year performance
131.52
Volume signature
Up / down volume ratio1.13
Up days27
Down days23
Recent pocket pivot✗ No
Multi-timeframe alignment
Daily above sma50✓ Yes
Weekly above sma10✓ Yes
Daily + weekly aligned✓ Yes
Gann confluence
In zoneLayer applied (+score)
In zone
Layer applied (+score)
Current zone score 16 · reaction rate 97% · 814 clusters tracked · bars used 1256
| Date | Price | Score | Price levels | Time levels |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-25 | 73.32 | 2.41 | 14 | 3 |
| 2022-05-12 | 73.32 | 2.41 | 14 | 3 |
| 2025-05-29 | 73.32 | 2.32 | 14 | 3 |
| 2025-06-30 | 73.32 | 2.84 | 14 | 4 |
| 2025-08-18 | 73.32 | 2.78 | 14 | 3 |
| 2025-11-04 | 73.32 | 2.59 | 14 | 3 |
| 2026-06-03 | 73.32 | 3.13 | 14 | 7 |
| 2026-06-03 | 65.59 | 2.36 | 11 | 7 |
| 2026-06-10 | 73.32 | 3.13 | 14 | 6 |
| 2026-06-10 | 65.59 | 2.36 | 11 | 6 |