AAL

Long
StopHit

American Airlines Group Inc

Technical Breakout · detected 2026-07-08 22:30 · Industrials · Airlines

Risk : Reward

1 : 4.9

Likelihood

4%

Historical win rate of this setup type
Risk multiplier

1.00×

Normal sizing
Score

96

Time to reward

2–6 months

Estimated holding period for reward realization
Expected R

-0.55R

From 477 closed setups · bucket: type:1|regime:Bull
Trade levels

Entry16.61

Stop15.78

Risk / share0.83


Target 1 (3R)19.10

Target 2 (5R)20.67

Target 3 (10R)20.67

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Daily candles
Rationale
Entry rule

Prior close + $0.10 breakout buffer

Stop rule

min(price - 1 ATR, SMA20)

Sector Industrials
Industry Airlines
Rsi14 54.93
Sma20 16.42
Sma50 14.39
Sma200 13.42
Atr14 0.73
Relative strength rank 63
6-month performance 4.30
1-year performance 42.57
Volume signature
Up / down volume ratio2.30
Up days30
Down days20
Recent pocket pivot✗ No
Multi-timeframe alignment
Daily above sma50✓ Yes
Weekly above sma10✓ Yes
Daily + weekly aligned✓ Yes
Gann confluence
In zone
Layer applied (+score)

Current zone score 28 · reaction rate 96% · 561 clusters tracked · bars used 1254

Date Price Score Price levels Time levels
2025-04-10 15.39 3.40 15 4
2025-05-02 15.39 4.25 15 8
2025-05-21 15.39 3.64 15 6
2025-06-18 15.39 4.52 15 7
2025-07-10 15.39 3.51 15 6
2025-08-05 15.39 3.24 15 3
2025-08-13 15.39 3.89 15 5
2026-07-30 15.39 5.53 15 10
2026-07-30 14.06 3.78 12 10
2026-07-30 16.71 3.48 12 10
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